It has not been established firmly whether dyslipidemia contributes independently to the progression of kidney disease. Lipid and lipoprotein parameters, including levels of total, HDL, and LDL cholesterol; triglycerides; lipoprotein(a); apolipoprotein A-IV; and the apolipoprotein E and A-IV polymorphisms, were assessed in 177 patients who had mostly mild to moderate renal insufficiency and were followed prospectively for up to 7 yr. Progression of kidney disease was defined as doubling of baseline serum creatinine and/or terminal renal failure necessitating renal replacement therapy. In univariate analysis, patients who reached a progression end point (n = 65) were significantly older and had higher serum creatinine and proteinuria as well as lower GFR and hemoglobin levels. In addition, baseline apolipoprotein A-IV and triglyceride concentrations were higher and HDL cholesterol levels were lower. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that baseline GFR (hazard ratio 0.714; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.627 to 0.814 for an increment of 10 ml/min per 1.73 m(2); P < 0.0001) and serum apolipoprotein A-IV concentrations (hazard ratio 1.062; 95% CI 1.018 to 1.108 for an increment of 1 mg/dl; P = 0.006) were significant predictors of disease progression. Patients with apolipoprotein A-IV levels above the median had a significantly faster progression (P < 0.0001), and their mean follow-up time to a progression end point was 53.7 mo (95% CI 47.6 to 59.8) as compared with 70.0 mo (95% CI 64.6 to 75.4) in patients with apolipoprotein A-IV levels below the median. For the apolipoprotein E polymorphism, only the genotype epsilon2/epsilon4 was associated with an increased risk for progression. In summary, this prospective study in patients with nondiabetic primary kidney disease demonstrated that apolipoprotein A-IV concentration is a novel independent predictor of progression.