Predicting beta-interferon failure in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis

Mult Scler. 2007 Apr;13(3):336-42. doi: 10.1177/1352458506071309. Epub 2007 Jan 29.

Abstract

Proposed beta-interferon (IFNbeta) treatment failure criteria for patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) have not been validated in clinical practice. This study aimed to establish (a) whether IFNbeta attenuated accumulation of fixed disability in comparison to a cohort of matched historical control subjects from the Sylvia Lawry centre for MS research, and (b) whether relapse-based treatment failure criteria or clinical and demographic variables had predictive value for the accumulation of fixed disability. Of the 175 IFNbeta-treated RRMS patients, 60 (34%) developed accumulation of fixed disability over a median of five years follow-up, which was significantly less than the rate of accumulation of fixed disability in the control group (P<0.0001). Any relapse in the treatment period predicted accumulation of fixed disability with a sensitivity of 80% and specificity of 43%; patients totally relapse free were less likely to develop accumulation of fixed disability (P <0.002). Multivariate analysis confirmed that a greater risk of accumulation of fixed disability was conferred by a higher Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score starting IFNbeta (P=0.02), and by failure of IFNbeta to completely suppress relapses (P=0.004). In conclusion, IFNbeta therapy reduced the accumulation of fixed disability in a cohort of RRMS patients, followed for a median of five years. Higher baseline EDSS and failure of complete relapse suppression were associated with a significantly greater likelihood of accumulation of fixed disability.

Publication types

  • Controlled Clinical Trial
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Age of Onset
  • Cohort Studies
  • Disability Evaluation
  • Disabled Persons / statistics & numerical data
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Immunologic Factors / therapeutic use
  • Interferon-beta / therapeutic use*
  • Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting / drug therapy*
  • Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting / physiopathology
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Recurrence
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Failure

Substances

  • Immunologic Factors
  • Interferon-beta