Multiple risk factor model predicting cannabis use and use disorders: a longitudinal study

Am J Drug Alcohol Abuse. 2009;35(6):399-407. doi: 10.3109/00952990903353415.

Abstract

Background: Identification of factors associated with the initiation and continuation of cannabis use is important for any preventive work.

Objectives: This study aimed to examine the early life course predictors of cannabis use and the development of cannabis use disorder in early adulthood.

Methods: Data from Mater Hospital and University of Queensland Study of Pregnancy (MUSP), a population-based prospective birth cohort study. Participants were a cohort of 2,493 young adults who completed the life-time version of the Composite International Diagnostic Interview-computerized version (CIDI-Auto) at the 21-year follow-up, and for whom data were available from previous follow-ups. Ever use and age at first use of cannabis was assessed via self-report, and cannabis use disorder was measured based on Diagnostic and Statistical Manual version IV (DSM-IV) diagnostic criteria. Life course predictors were obtained between the child's birth and the 14-year follow-up.

Results: Of 2,493 young adults, 51.4% reported having ever used cannabis, and 21.1% of young adults were classified as having ever had a cannabis use disorder. Child's gender, changes in maternal marital status, maternal smoking, child school performance, childhood sexual abuse, early adolescence smoking and alcohol consumption, and adolescent aggression/delinquency were strongly associated with young adult cannabis use and use disorder. Exposure to multiple risk factors was associated with greater risk of outcomes.

Conclusions: There are a number of strong predictors of cannabis use identified in this study. They suggest that the social context within which children are reared has a major influence on cannabis use and use disorders.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adolescent Behavior*
  • Adult
  • Age Factors
  • Age of Onset
  • Child, Preschool
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Male
  • Marijuana Abuse / epidemiology
  • Marijuana Abuse / psychology*
  • Marijuana Smoking / epidemiology
  • Marijuana Smoking / psychology*
  • Marital Status
  • Models, Statistical
  • Mother-Child Relations
  • Mothers / psychology
  • Risk Factors