Predicting survival of patients with hypocellular myelodysplastic syndrome: development of a disease-specific prognostic score system

Cancer. 2012 Sep 15;118(18):4462-70. doi: 10.1002/cncr.27420. Epub 2012 Jan 17.

Abstract

Background: Although most patients with myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) exhibit bone marrow hypercellularity, a subset of them present with a hypocellular bone marrow. Specific factors associated with poor prognosis have not been investigated in patients with hypocellular MDS.

Methods: The authors studied a cohort of 253 patients with hypocellular MDS diagnosed at The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center between 1993 and 2007 and a cohort of 1725 patients with hyper-/normocellular MDS diagnosed during the same time period.

Results: Patients with hypocellular MDS presented more frequently with thrombocytopenia (P < .019), neutropenia (P < .001), low serum β-2 microglobulin (P < .001), increased transfusion dependency (P < .001), and intermediate-2/high-risk disease (57% vs 42%, P = .02) compared with patients with hyper-/normocellular MDS. However, no difference in overall survival was observed between the 2 groups (P = .28). Multivariate analysis identified poor performance status (Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group ≥2), low hemoglobin (<10 g/dL), unfavorable cytogenetics (-7/7q or complex), increased bone marrow blasts (≥5%), and high serum lactate dehydrogenase (>600 IU/L) as adverse independent factors for survival.

Conclusions: A new prognostic model based on these factors was built that segregated patients into 3 distinct risk categories independent of International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) score. This model is independent from the IPSS, further refines IPSS-based prognostication, and may be used to develop of risk-adapted therapeutic approaches for patients with hypocellular MDS.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Bone Marrow
  • Bone Marrow Diseases / blood
  • Bone Marrow Diseases / complications
  • Bone Marrow Diseases / mortality*
  • Disease Progression
  • Disease-Free Survival
  • Female
  • Hemoglobins / analysis
  • Humans
  • L-Lactate Dehydrogenase / blood
  • Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Myelodysplastic Syndromes / blood
  • Myelodysplastic Syndromes / diagnosis
  • Myelodysplastic Syndromes / mortality*
  • Myelodysplastic Syndromes / therapy
  • Neutropenia / complications
  • Prognosis
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Thrombocytopenia
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Hemoglobins
  • L-Lactate Dehydrogenase