The prognostic significance of Gleason scores in metastatic prostate cancer

Urol Oncol. 2014 Jul;32(5):707-13. doi: 10.1016/j.urolonc.2014.01.004. Epub 2014 Mar 12.

Abstract

Purpose: Although the majority of metastatic prostate cancer (mPCa) will arise from tumors with Gleason scores (GS) of 8 to 10 existing tumor grade analyses for mPCa have been almost uniformly limited to comparisons of ≤7 vs. ≥8. In this analysis, we comprehensively evaluate the GS as a prognostic factor for mPCa in the era of the updated Gleason grading system.

Methods: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was queried for patients with mPCa, GS 6 to 10, diagnosed from 2006 to 2008. GS and primary-secondary Gleason pattern variations were analyzed for overall survival and prostate cancer-specific survival (PCSS).

Results: A total of 4,654 patients were evaluable. At 4 years, the overall survival rates were 51%, 45%, 34%, 25%, and 15% and PCSS rates were 69%, 57%, 44%, 33%, and 21% for GS 6, 7, 8, 9, and 10, respectively. Survival differences for GS 7 vs. 8, 8 vs. 9, and 9 vs. 10 were highly significant on both univariate and multivariate analyses accounting for age, prostate-specific antigen level, and T stage (all P<0.001). Gleason pattern 5 was an independent prognostic factor, both overall for patients with GS 6 to 10 and on primary-secondary Gleason pattern comparisons within the GS 8 (4+4 vs. 3+5 and 5+3) and GS 9 (4+5 vs. 5+4) subgroups. No survival differences were observed between 3+4 vs. 4+3. Overall, lower prostate-specific antigen level, younger age, and lower GS were associated with improved survival, with GS being the strongest prognostic factor for PCSS.

Conclusions: In this large population-based cohort, stratified survival outcomes were observed for GS 6 to 10, with sequential comparisons of GS 7 to 10, and the presence and extent of Gleason pattern 5 representing independent prognostic factors in the metastatic setting.

Keywords: Gleason score; Histology; Metastasis; Prognosis; Prostate cancer.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Disease-Free Survival
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoplasm Grading / statistics & numerical data*
  • Neoplasm Metastasis
  • Prognosis
  • Prostate-Specific Antigen / blood
  • Prostatic Neoplasms / diagnosis*
  • Prostatic Neoplasms / epidemiology
  • Prostatic Neoplasms / mortality
  • Prostatic Neoplasms / pathology*
  • SEER Program
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Outcome
  • United States

Substances

  • Prostate-Specific Antigen