Resting heart rate and measures of effort-related cardiac autonomic dysfunction predict cardiovascular events in asymptomatic type 2 diabetes

Eur J Prev Cardiol. 2016 Aug;23(12):1298-306. doi: 10.1177/2047487315624747. Epub 2015 Dec 23.

Abstract

Background: Autonomic control of the cardiovascular system may be impaired in type 2 diabetes and is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Parameters obtained during stress testing may reflect early stages of cardiac autonomic dysfunction and provide prognostic information in asymptomatic type 2 diabetes.

Methods: We performed maximal exercise treadmill testing in 594 patients with type 2 diabetes without known coronary heart disease. The prognostic significance of physiological parameters associated with autonomic dysfunction was assessed, including chronotropic incompetence (<80% heart rate reserve), abnormal heart rate recovery at 1 minute <18 beats/minute, and resting tachycardia >100 beats/minute. Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to determine the association of exercise parameters with a composite outcome of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction or stroke.

Results: Resting heart rate >100 beats/minute was observed in 18% of patients, chronotropic incompetence in 30% and heart rate recovery at 1 minute <18 beats/minute in 35%. Over 79 ± 16 months, there were 72 (12%) events. Each parameter was significantly associated with event risk in an adjusted multivariate analysis: chronotropic incompetence (hazard ratio 1.89, 95% confidence interval 1.18-3.01; P = 0.008), resting heart rate ≥100 beats/minute (hazard ratio 1.97, 95% confidence interval 1.19-3.26; P = 0.008) and heart rate recovery at 1 minute <18 beats (hazard ratio 1.77, 95% confidence interval 1.12-2.81; P = 0.015). A progressive relationship between the number of abnormal parameters and event risk was observed (log rank P < 0.001).

Conclusions: Chronotropic incompetence, resting tachycardia and reduced heart rate recovery are independently and additively associated with long-term mortality, myocardial infarction or stroke in type 2 diabetes without known coronary heart disease.

Keywords: Exercise testing; chronotropic incompetence; heart rate; type 2 diabetes.

Publication types

  • Clinical Trial
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Asymptomatic Diseases
  • Autonomic Nervous System / physiopathology*
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / complications
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / mortality
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / physiopathology*
  • Cause of Death / trends
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 / complications*
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 / mortality
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 / physiopathology
  • Exercise Test
  • Exercise Tolerance / physiology*
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Heart Rate / physiology*
  • Humans
  • Israel / epidemiology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Prognosis
  • Rest / physiology*
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment / methods*
  • Risk Factors
  • Survival Rate / trends