Objectives: We prospectively investigated the roles of pretreatment dynamic contrast-enhanced MR imaging (DCE-MRI), diffusion-weighted MR imaging (DWI) and 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography (18F-FDG PET)/CT for predicting survival of oropharyngeal or hypopharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OHSCC) patients treated with chemoradiation.
Methods: Patients with histologically proven OHSCC and neck nodal metastases scheduled for chemoradiation were eligible. Clinical variables as well as DCE-MRI-, DWI- and 18F-FDG PET/CT-derived parameters of the primary tumours and metastatic neck nodes were analysed in relation to 3-year progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) rates.
Results: Eighty-six patients were available for analysis. Multivariate analysis identified the efflux rate constant (K ep)-tumour < 3.79 min-1 (P = 0.001), relative volume of extracellular extravascular space (V e)-node < 0.23 (P = 0.004) and SUVmax-tumour > 19.44 (P = 0.025) as independent risk factors for both PFS and OS. A scoring system based upon the sum of each of the three imaging parameters allowed stratification of our patients into three groups (patients with 0/1 factor, patients with 2 factors and patients with 3 factors, respectively) with distinct PFS (3-year rates = 72 %, 38 % and 0 %, P < 0.0001) and OS (3-year rates = 81 %, 46 % and 20 %, P < 0.0001).
Conclusions: K ep-tumour, V e-node and SUVmax-tumour were independent prognosticators for OHSCC treated with chemoradiation. Their combination helped survival stratification.
Key points: • K ep -tumour, V e -node and SUV max -tumour are independent predictors of survival rates. • The combination of these three prognosticators may help stratification of survival. • MRI and FDG-PET/CT play complementary roles in prognostication of head and neck cancer.
Keywords: Chemoradiation; Diffusion-weighted imaging; Dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI; Hypopharyngeal cancer; Oropharyngeal cancer; Survival.