Risk stratification for locally advanced hepatocellular carcinoma using pretreatment alpha-foetoprotein and 18 F-fluoro-2-deoxyglucose positron emission tomography

Liver Int. 2017 Apr;37(4):592-599. doi: 10.1111/liv.13297. Epub 2016 Nov 27.

Abstract

Background & aims: We investigated the significance of 18 F-fluoro-2-deoxyglucose positron emission tomography (18 F-FDG PET) parameters and alpha-foetoprotein (AFP) levels in patients with locally advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (LA-HCC).

Methods: We retrospectively analysed data of 228 patients with LA-HCC who underwent pretreatment 18 F-FDG PET between January 2003 and December 2013. All patients were treated using liver-directed therapy involving radiotherapy. The maximum standardized uptake values (SUVs) and tumour-to-extratumoural liver SUV ratios were calculated, and pretreatment AFP values were obtained.

Results: Patients were divided into high and low maximum SUV (SUVmax) groups according to a SUV cut-off of 4.825 determined via receiver-operating characteristic analysis. High AFP level (>550 ng/mL) and high SUVmax were significant predictors of overall and progression-free survival. Better treatment responses and longer median progression-free and overall survival were observed in the low SUVmax group, compared to the high SUVmax group. Similar results were obtained for SUV ratio-based (cut-off value: 2.355) and AFP-based analyses (cut-off value: 550 ng/mL). Three risk groups were identified using the double biomarkers of SUVmax and AFP value as strong prognosticators predictive of survival outcomes. This risk stratification was identified as a prognosticator of survival outcomes, even after subgroup analyses. Furthermore, in high risk group, significantly high extrahepatic failure was shown while in low risk group, significantly low intrahepatic failure.

Conclusions: Clinical significance of double biomarkers, SUV and AFP, could be translated into risk stratification for LA-HCC. It could be a valuable tool for survival outcome prediction.

Keywords: FDG-PET; alpha-foetoprotein; hepatocellular carcinoma; survival; tumour aggressiveness.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / blood*
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / diagnostic imaging*
  • Female
  • Fluorodeoxyglucose F18
  • Humans
  • Liver Neoplasms / blood*
  • Liver Neoplasms / diagnostic imaging*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Positron-Emission Tomography
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Radiopharmaceuticals
  • Republic of Korea / epidemiology
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Survival Analysis
  • Young Adult
  • alpha-Fetoproteins / analysis*

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Radiopharmaceuticals
  • alpha-Fetoproteins
  • Fluorodeoxyglucose F18