Abstract
Influenza A virus (IAV) subtypes against which little or no pre-existing immunity exists in humans represent a serious threat to global public health. Monitoring of IAV in animal hosts is essential for early and rapid detection of potential pandemic IAV strains to prevent their spread. Recently, the increased pandemic potential of the avian-like swine H1N1 IAV A/swine/Guangdong/104/2013 has been suggested. The virus is infectious in humans and the general population seems to lack neutralizing antibodies against this virus. Here we present an in silico analysis that shows a strong human propensity of this swine virus further confirming its pandemic potential. We suggest mutations which would further enhance its human propensity. We also propose conserved antigenic determinants which could serve as a component of a prepandemic vaccine. The bioinformatics tool, which can be used to further monitor the evolution of swine influenza viruses towards a pandemic virus, are described here and are made publically available (http://www.vin.bg.ac.rs/180/tools/iav_mon.php; http://www.biomedprotection.com/iav_mon.php).
MeSH terms
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Animals
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Antibodies, Neutralizing / biosynthesis
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Antibodies, Viral / biosynthesis
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Antigens, Viral / genetics
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Antigens, Viral / immunology*
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Bird Diseases / epidemiology*
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Bird Diseases / immunology
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Bird Diseases / prevention & control
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Bird Diseases / virology
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Birds
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China / epidemiology
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Computational Biology
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Conserved Sequence
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Europe / epidemiology
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Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus / genetics
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Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus / immunology*
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Humans
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Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype / classification
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Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype / genetics
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Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype / immunology*
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Influenza Vaccines / administration & dosage
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Influenza Vaccines / biosynthesis
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Internet
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Mutation
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Orthomyxoviridae Infections / epidemiology*
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Orthomyxoviridae Infections / immunology
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Orthomyxoviridae Infections / prevention & control
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Orthomyxoviridae Infections / virology
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Pandemics / prevention & control*
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Phylogeny
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Software
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Swine
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Swine Diseases / epidemiology*
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Swine Diseases / immunology
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Swine Diseases / prevention & control
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Swine Diseases / virology
Substances
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Antibodies, Neutralizing
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Antibodies, Viral
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Antigens, Viral
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H1N1 virus hemagglutinin
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Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus
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Influenza Vaccines
Grants and funding
This work was supported by the Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia (Grant no. 173001). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.