Demographic and ecological risk factors for human influenza A virus infections in rural Indonesia

Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2017 Sep;11(5):425-433. doi: 10.1111/irv.12468. Epub 2017 Aug 9.

Abstract

Background: Indonesia has the world's highest reported mortality for human infections with highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) A(H5N1) virus. Indonesia is an agriculturally driven country where human-animal mixing is common and provides a unique environment for zoonotic influenza A virus transmission.

Objectives: To identify potential demographic and ecological risk factors for human infection with seasonal influenza A viruses in rural Indonesia, a population-based study was conducted in Cileunyi and Soreang subdistricts near Bandung in western Java from 2008 to 2011.

Methods: Passive influenza surveillance with RT-PCR confirmation of influenza A viral RNA in respiratory specimens was utilized for case ascertainment. A population census and mapping were utilized for population data collection. The presence of influenza A(H3N2) and A(H1N1)pdm09 virus infections in a household was modeled using Generalized Estimating Equations.

Results: Each additional child aged <5 years in a household increased the odds of H3N2 approximately 5 times (OR=4.59, 95%CI: 3.30-6.24) and H1N1pdm09 by 3.5 times (OR=3.53, 95%CI: 2.51-4.96). In addition, the presence of 16-30 birds in the house was associated with an increased odds of H3N2 (OR=5.08, 95%CI: 2.00-12.92) and H1N1pdm09 (OR=12.51 95%CI: 6.23-25.13).

Conclusion: Our findings suggest an increase in influenza A virus infections in rural Indonesian households with young children and poultry.

Keywords: H1N1pdm09; H3N2; age structure; birds; geographic information system; risk factors.

Publication types

  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Animals
  • Antibodies, Viral / blood
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Cohort Studies
  • Demography
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Indonesia / epidemiology
  • Infant
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Influenza in Birds / epidemiology
  • Influenza in Birds / transmission
  • Influenza in Birds / virology
  • Influenza, Human / epidemiology*
  • Influenza, Human / virology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Orthomyxoviridae / classification
  • Orthomyxoviridae / genetics
  • Orthomyxoviridae / isolation & purification
  • Orthomyxoviridae / pathogenicity
  • Population Surveillance
  • Poultry / virology
  • Prospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Rural Health*
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Antibodies, Viral