Background: We studied the relationship between intermediate criteria and overall survival (OS) in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients who received first-line chemotherapy with bevacizumab.
Patients and methods: We assessed OS, progression-free survival (PFS), duration of disease control (DDC), the sum of the periods in which the disease did not progress, and the time to failure of strategy (TFS), which was defined as the entire period before the introduction of a second-line treatment. Linear correlation and regression models were used, and Prentice criteria were investigated.
Results: With a median follow-up of 57.6 months for 216 patients, the median OS was 24.5 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 21.3-29.7). The median PFS, DDC, and TFS were 8.9 (95% CI, 8.4-9.7), 11.0 (95% CI, 9.8-12.4), and 11.1 (95% CI, 10.0-13.0) months, respectively. The correlations between OS and DDC (Pearson coefficient, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.73-0.83], determination coefficient, 0.62) and OS and TFS (Pearson coefficient, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.73-0.84], determination coefficient, 0.63) were satisfactory. Linear regression analysis showed a significant association between OS and DDC, and between OS and TFS. Prentice criteria were verified for TFS as well as DDC.
Conclusion: DDC and TFS correlated with OS and are relevant as intermediate criteria in the setting of patients with mCRC treated with a first-line bevacizumab-based regimen.
Keywords: Alternative endpoints; Duration of disease control; Maintenance; Metastatic colorectal cancer; Time to failure of strategy.
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