Multiscale scenarios for nature futures

Isabel M D Rosa; Henrique M Pereira; Simon Ferrier; Rob Alkemade; Lilibeth A Acosta; H Resit Akcakaya; Eefje den Belder; Asghar M Fazel; Shinichiro Fujimori; Mike Harfoot; Khaled A Harhash; Paula A Harrison; Jennifer Hauck; Rob J J Hendriks; Gladys Hernández; Walter Jetz; Sylvia I Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen; HyeJin Kim; Nicholas King; Marcel T J Kok; Grygoriy O Kolomytsev; Tanya Lazarova; Paul Leadley; Carolyn J Lundquist; Jaime García Márquez; Carsten Meyer; Laetitia M Navarro; Carsten Nesshöver; Hien T Ngo; Karachepone N Ninan; Maria G Palomo; Laura M Pereira; Garry D Peterson; Ramon Pichs; Alexander Popp; Andy Purvis; Federica Ravera; Carlo Rondinini; Jyothis Sathyapalan; Aafke M Schipper; Ralf Seppelt; Josef Settele; Nadia Sitas; Detlef van Vuuren

doi:10.1038/s41559-017-0273-9

Multiscale scenarios for nature futures

Nat Ecol Evol. 2017 Oct;1(10):1416-1419. doi: 10.1038/s41559-017-0273-9.

Authors

Isabel M D Rosa^{1

2}, Henrique M Pereira^{3

4

5}, Simon Ferrier⁶, Rob Alkemade⁷, Lilibeth A Acosta⁸, H Resit Akcakaya⁹, Eefje den Belder^{7

10}, Asghar M Fazel^{11

12}, Shinichiro Fujimori^{13

14}, Mike Harfoot¹⁵, Khaled A Harhash¹⁶, Paula A Harrison¹⁷, Jennifer Hauck^{18

19}, Rob J J Hendriks²⁰, Gladys Hernández²¹, Walter Jetz^{22

23}, Sylvia I Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen²⁴, HyeJin Kim²⁵, Nicholas King²⁶, Marcel T J Kok⁷, Grygoriy O Kolomytsev²⁷, Tanya Lazarova⁷, Paul Leadley²⁸, Carolyn J Lundquist^{29

30}, Jaime García Márquez³¹, Carsten Meyer^{32

22}, Laetitia M Navarro^{32

33}, Carsten Nesshöver^{32

18}, Hien T Ngo³⁴, Karachepone N Ninan³⁵, Maria G Palomo³⁶, Laura M Pereira³⁷, Garry D Peterson³⁸, Ramon Pichs²¹, Alexander Popp³⁹, Andy Purvis⁴⁰, Federica Ravera^{41

42

43}, Carlo Rondinini⁴⁴, Jyothis Sathyapalan⁴⁵, Aafke M Schipper⁷, Ralf Seppelt^{33

19}, Josef Settele^{32

46}, Nadia Sitas⁴⁷, Detlef van Vuuren⁷

Affiliations

¹ German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), 04103, Leipzig, Germany. isabel.rosa@idiv.de.
² Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, 06108, Halle, Germany. isabel.rosa@idiv.de.
³ German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), 04103, Leipzig, Germany. hpereira@idiv.de.
⁴ Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, 06108, Halle, Germany. hpereira@idiv.de.
⁵ Centro de Investigação em Biodiversidade e Recursos Genéticos (CIBIO), Universidade do Porto, 4485-661, Vairāo, Portugal. hpereira@idiv.de.
⁶ Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Land and Water, Canberra, 2601, Australia.
⁷ PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, 2500 GH, The Hague, The Netherlands.
⁸ Department of Community and Environmental Resource Planning, College of Human Ecology, University of the Philippines Los Banos (UPLB), 4031, Laguna, Philippines.
⁹ Department of Ecology and Evolution, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, 11794-5245, USA.
¹⁰ Agrosystems Research, Wageningen University and Research, 6708 PB, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
¹¹ University College of Environment, Karaj, 14155-6135, Iran.
¹² ECO Institute of Environmental Science and Technology (ECO-IEST), Karaj, 31746-118, Iran.
¹³ Center for Social and Environmental Systems Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-8506, Japan.
¹⁴ International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.
¹⁵ United Nations Environment Programme, World Conservation Monitoring Centre, Cambridge, CB3 0DL, UK.
¹⁶ Egyptian Environmental Affairs Agency (EEAA), Maadi, Cairo, 11728, Egypt.
¹⁷ Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Lancaster Environment Centre, Bailrigg, Lancaster, LA1 4AP, UK.
¹⁸ UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, 04318, Leipzig, Germany.
¹⁹ CoKnow Consulting, 04838, Jesewitz, Germany.
²⁰ Directorate of Agro and Nature Knowledge, Ministry of Economic Affairs, 2594 AC, The Hague, The Netherlands.
²¹ Centre for World Economy Studies (CIEM), Miramar, 11300, Habana, Cuba.
²² Ecology and Evolutionary Biology Department, Yale University, New Haven, CT, 06520-8106, USA.
²³ Department of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, Silwood Park, Ascot, Berkshire, SL5 7PY, UK.
²⁴ Public Administration Group, Wageningen University and Research, 6708 PB, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
²⁵ National Institute of Ecology, Seocheon, 33657, Republic of Korea.
²⁶ Research Unit for Environmental Sciences and Management, North-West University, Potchefstroom, 2520, South Africa.
²⁷ I.I. Schmalhausen Institute of Zoology of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Kiev, 01030, Ukraine.
²⁸ Laboratoire d'Ecologie, Systématique et Evolution, Université Paris-Sud, 91405, Orsay, France.
²⁹ Institute of Marine Science, University of Auckland, Auckland, 1142, New Zealand.
³⁰ National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research Ltd (NIWA), Hamilton, 3216, New Zealand.
³¹ IRI THESys, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, 10117, Berlin, Germany.
³² German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), 04103, Leipzig, Germany.
³³ Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, 06108, Halle, Germany.
³⁴ IPBES secretariat, D-53113, Bonn, Germany.
³⁵ Centre for Economics, Environment and Society, Bangalore, 560 047, India.
³⁶ Museo Argentino de Ciencias Naturales (MACN-CONICET), C1405DJR, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
³⁷ Centre for Complex Systems in Transition, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, 7600, South Africa.
³⁸ Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, SE-106 91, Stockholm, Sweden.
³⁹ Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Telegraphenberg, 14473, Potsdam, Germany.
⁴⁰ Department of Life Sciences, Natural History Museum, London, SW7 5BD, UK.
⁴¹ Instituto de Ciências Agrárias e Ambientais Mediterrânica (ICAAM), University of Évora, 7002-554, Évora, Portugal.
⁴² Agroecology and Food Systems, UVic-Universitat Central De Catalunya, 08500 Vic, Barcelona, Spain.
⁴³ CREAF, Cerdanyola del Vallès, 08193, Catalonia, Spain.
⁴⁴ Global Mammal Assessment Program, Department of Biology and Biotechnologies, Sapienza University of Rome, 00185, Rome, Italy.
⁴⁵ Centre for Economic and Social Studies (CESS), Hyderabad, 500016, India.
⁴⁶ UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, 06120, Halle, Germany.
⁴⁷ Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR), Stellenbosch, 7600, South Africa.

PMID: 29185524
DOI: 10.1038/s41559-017-0273-9

No abstract available

Publication types

Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

Decision Making*
Economic Development*
Forecasting
Nature*
Perception*