Economic Evaluation of the Hepatitis C Virus Treatment Extension to Early-Stage Fibrosis Patients: Evidence from the PITER Real-World Cohort

Value Health. 2018 Jul;21(7):783-791. doi: 10.1016/j.jval.2017.10.021. Epub 2017 Dec 6.

Abstract

Objectives: To conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis of two planning strategies of the second-generation direct-acting antiviral interferon-free regimens for the treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus infection.

Methods: A lifetime multicohort model comprised 8125 real-life patients enrolled in the PITER (Italian platform for the study of viral hepatitis) registry, implemented by the ISS (Istituto Superiore di Sanità). Two treatment planning strategies were compared: 1) policy 1-treat all patients regardless of the stage of fibrosis (F0-F4) with second-generation direct-acting antivirals and 2) policy 2-treat patients at F3/F4 stage and those who are prioritized by the scientific guidelines first, and the remaining patients when they reach the F3 stage. Clinical outcomes and costs were evaluated by using a lifetime horizon Markov model and adopting the third-party payer perspective. Health outcomes were expressed in terms of quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). A sensitivity analysis was run to explore first- and second-order uncertainty and heterogeneity. An expected value of perfect information analysis was also conducted.

Results: Policy 1 exhibits an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of €8,775/QALY gained and remains less than €30,000/QALY in 94% of realizations produced by the Monte-Carlo simulation. Such a proportion increases to 97% when adopting a threshold of €40,000/QALY gained.

Conclusions: Moving from the urgency criterion to evidence-based escalating strategies when prioritizing the access to new anti-hepatitis C virus treatments is a good investment in health, whose affordability should be explored through context-specific budget impact analyses.

Keywords: DAA treatments; HCV; HCV treatment extension; cost-effectiveness model.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Antiviral Agents / adverse effects
  • Antiviral Agents / economics*
  • Antiviral Agents / therapeutic use*
  • Budgets
  • Computer Simulation
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis
  • Drug Costs*
  • Drug Therapy, Combination
  • Female
  • Hepacivirus / drug effects*
  • Hepacivirus / pathogenicity
  • Hepatitis C, Chronic / diagnosis
  • Hepatitis C, Chronic / drug therapy*
  • Hepatitis C, Chronic / economics*
  • Hepatitis C, Chronic / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Italy / epidemiology
  • Liver Cirrhosis / diagnosis
  • Liver Cirrhosis / drug therapy*
  • Liver Cirrhosis / economics*
  • Liver Cirrhosis / epidemiology
  • Male
  • Markov Chains
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Economic
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Quality-Adjusted Life Years
  • Registries
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Outcome
  • Uncertainty
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Antiviral Agents