Combination of Circulating Type I Collagen-Related Biomarkers Is Associated With Atrial Fibrillation

Abstract

Background: A combination of circulating biomarkers associated with excessive myocardial collagen type-I cross-linking or CCL+ (i.e., decreased carboxy-terminal telopeptide of collagen type-I to matrix metalloproteinase-1 ratio) and with excessive myocardial collagen type-I deposition or CD+ (i.e., increased carboxy-terminal propeptide of procollagen type-I) has been described in heart failure (HF) patients and associates with poor outcomes.

Objectives: The purpose of this study was to investigate whether the CCL+CD+ combination of biomarkers associates with atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods: Biomarkers were analyzed in serum samples from 242 HF patients (study 1) and 150 patients referred for AF ablation (study 2). Patients were classified into 3 groups (CCL-CD-, CCL+CD- or CCL-CD+, and CCL+CD+) in accordance to biomarker threshold values. Left atrial electroanatomic high-density mapping was performed in 71 patients from study 2.

Results: In study 1, 53.7% patients had AF at baseline and 19.6% developed AF (median follow-up 5.5 years). Adjusted odds and hazard ratios associated with baseline and new-onset AF, respectively, were both ≥3.3 (p ≤ 0.050) in CCL+CD+ patients compared with CCL-CD- patients, with nonsignificant changes in the other group. In study 2, 29.3% patients had AF recurrence during 1-year post-ablation. The adjusted hazard ratio for AF recurrence was 3.4 (p = 0.008) in CCL+CD+ patients compared with CCL-CD- patients, with nonsignificant changes in the other group. The CCL+CD+ combination added incremental predictive value over relevant covariables. CCL+CD+ patients exhibited lower left atrial voltage than the remaining patients (p = 0.005).

Conclusions: A combination of circulating biomarkers reflecting excessive myocardial collagen type-I cross-linking and deposition is associated with higher AF prevalence, incidence, and recurrence after ablation.

Keywords: arrhythmia; atrial fibrillation; carboxy-terminal propeptide of procollagen type I; carboxy-terminal telopeptide of collagen type I; metalloproteinase-1; recurrence post-ablation.