The Influence of Systemic Inflammation on Treatment Response and Survival in Anal Squamous Cell Cancer

Abstract

Aims: The incidence of anal squamous cell cancer (SCCA) is rising. Although chemoradiotherapy (CRT) provides a chance of cure, a proportion of patients have an incomplete response or develop recurrence. This study assessed the value of inflammation-based prognostic indicators, including the modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) and neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio (NLR), in patients with SCCA treated by CRT with curative intent.

Material and methods: Patients with histologically confirmed SCCA were identified from pathology records. Medical records were retrospectively reviewed and clinical, pathological and treatment characteristics were abstracted. The mGPS (0 = normal C-reactive protein [CRP] and albumin, 1 = CRP >10 mg/l and 2 = CRP >10 mg/l and albumin <35 mg/l) and NLR were calculated from routine blood tests obtained prior to CRT.

Results: In total, 118 patients underwent CRT for SCCA between December 2007 and February 2018. Of these, 99 patients had appropriate pretreatment blood results available. Systemic inflammation as indicated by NLR >3 and mGPS >0 was present in 41% and 39% of patients, respectively. Most patients had T2 or larger tumours (n = 85, 86%) without nodal involvement (n = 64, 65%). An elevated mGPS was associated with more advanced T-stage (56% versus 35%, P = 0.036). NLR >5 was associated with nodal positivity (56% versus 31%, P = 0.047). On multivariate analysis, more advanced T-stage (odds ratio 7.49, 95% confidence interval 1.51-37.20, P = 0.014) and a raised mGPS (odds ratio 5.13, 95% confidence interval 1.25-21.14, P = 0.024) were independently related to incomplete CRT response. An elevated mGPS was prognostic of inferior survival (hazard ratio 3.09, 95% confidence interval 1.47-6.50, P = 0.003) and cancer-specific survival (hazard ratio 4.32, 95% confidence interval 1.54-12.15, P = 0.006), independent of TNM stage.

Conclusion: Systemic inflammation, as measured by the mGPS, is associated with an incomplete CRT response and is independently prognostic of inferior survival in patients with SCCA. The mGPS may offer a simple marker of inferior outcome that could be used to identify high-risk patients.

Keywords: Anal cancer; chemoradiotherapy; prognosis; survival; systemic inflammation.