The influence of initial selection age, relative age effect and country long-term performance on the re-selection process in European basketball youth national teams

J Sports Sci. 2021 Feb;39(4):388-394. doi: 10.1080/02640414.2020.1823109. Epub 2020 Sep 30.

Abstract

The aims of the study were to: (a) analyse the re-selection patterns in European youth basketball national teams, and (b) investigate how the chance of re-selection is influenced by the initial selection age and relative age of the players, as well as the long-term performance of the country at the youth level. The sample consisted of 8362 basketball players (5038 men, 3324 women) born 1988-1997 who have participated in at least one U16, U18 or U20 European youth basketball championship between 2004 and 2017. The results from the survival analysis showed that around 75% of male and 80% of female players participating in a championship were re-selected the following year. Also, initial selection age, relative age effect, and the country long-term performance influenced the re-selection rates, with relationships being different between men and women. To conclude, the results of the present study show that the re-selection process by which players progress in European youth national basketball teams is complex and influenced by several different factors.

Keywords: Talent identification; selection; survival analysis; talent development; team sport.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Age Factors*
  • Aptitude / physiology*
  • Athletic Performance / statistics & numerical data*
  • Basketball / statistics & numerical data*
  • Data Analysis
  • Europe
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Personnel Selection / statistics & numerical data*
  • Probability
  • Sex Factors
  • Team Sports
  • Young Adult
  • Youth Sports / statistics & numerical data