Background and aims: Metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is increasingly recognized as a systematic disease rather than just a liver disease alone, which raises concerns about its long-term impact on different populations. This study aimed to clarify the effects of MAFLD on long-term outcomes among different cardiovascular risk-stratified populations.
Methods and results: Eligible individuals in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES Ⅲ, 1988-1994) were enrolled. Participants were classified into low, intermediate, or high cardiovascular-risk populations according to the Framingham general equations. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox regression models were used to investigate the association between MAFLD and long-term outcomes in different cardiovascular-risk populations. A total of 8897 adults were enrolled in the final analysis. The median ages in the non-MAFLD and MAFLD groups were 44 and 49 years old, respectively. During a median follow-up of 22.8 years, a total of 2991 deaths were recorded, including 1694 deaths (30.3%) in non-MAFLD and 1297 deaths (39.2%) in MAFLD (P < 0.001). In the low cardiovascular-risk population, MAFLD individuals had increased all-cause mortality than non-MAFLD individuals (HR = 1.206, 95% CI:1.0338-1.400, P = 0.014). However, similar results were not observed in intermediate or high-cardiovascular-risk individuals. Further analysis of cause-specific mortality suggested that MAFLD was associated with higher cancer-related mortality in the low-risk population (HR = 1.313, 95% CI:1.000-1.725, P = 0.049).
Conclusions: MAFLD was associated with increased all-cause mortality among individuals with low cardiovascular risk, rather than those with an intermediate or high cardiovascular risk.
Keywords: Cardiovascular risk stratification; Framingham general equations; MAFLD; Mortality; NHANES Ⅲ.
Copyright © 2022 The Italian Diabetes Society, the Italian Society for the Study of Atherosclerosis, the Italian Society of Human Nutrition and the Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, Federico II University. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.