Medullary Thyroid Carcinomas Classified According to the International Medullary Carcinoma Grading System and a Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Based Metastatic Risk Score: A Correlation With Genetic Profile and Angioinvasion

Abstract

Due to the lack of a standardized tool for risk-based stratification, the International Medullary Carcinoma Grading System (IMTCGS) has been proposed for medullary thyroid carcinomas (MTCs) based on necrosis, mitosis, and Ki67. Similarly, a risk stratification study using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database highlighted significant differences in MTCs in terms of clinical-pathological variables. We aimed to validate both the IMTCGS and SEER-based risk table on 66 MTC cases, with special attention to angioinvasion and the genetic profile. We found a significant association between the IMTCGS and survival because patients classified as high-grade had a lower event-free survival probability. Angioinvasion was also found to be significantly correlated with metastasis and death. Applying the SEER-based risk table, patients classified either as intermediate- or high-risk had a lower survival rate than low-risk patients. In addition, high-grade IMTCGS cases had a higher average SEER-based risk score than low-grade cases. Moreover, when we explored angioinvasion in correlation with the SEER-based risk table, patients with angioinvasion had a higher average SEER-based score than patients without angioinvasion. Deep sequencing analysis found that 10 out of 20 genes frequently mutated in MTCs belonged to a specific functional class, namely chromatin organization, and function, which may be responsible for the MTC heterogeneity. In addition, the genetic signature identified 3 main clusters; cases belonging to cluster II displayed a significantly higher number of mutations and higher tumor mutational burden, suggesting increased genetic instability, but cluster I was associated with the highest number of negative events. In conclusion, we confirmed the prognostic performance of the IMTCGS and SEER-based risk score, showing that patients classified as high-grade had a lower event-free survival probability. We also underline that angioinvasion has a significant prognostic role, which has not been incorporated in previous risk scores.

Keywords: classification; medullary carcinoma; prognosis; thyroid.