Validation of the Onco-MPI in predicting short-term mortality in older Indian patients with cancer

Abstract

Introduction: The number of older patients with cancer is increasing exponentially worldwide, and a similar trend has also been noted in India. The Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) strongly correlates the presence of individual comorbidities with mortality, and the Onco-MPI prognosticates patients accurately for overall mortality. However, limited studies have evaluated this index in patient populations beyond Italy. We evaluated the performance of the Onco-MPI index in predicting mortality in older Indian patients with cancer.

Materials and methods: This observational study was conducted between October 2019 and November 2021 in the Geriatric Oncology Clinic at Tata Memorial Hospital in Mumbai, India. The data of patients aged ≥60 years with solid tumors who underwent a comprehensive geriatric assessment was analysed. The study's primary aim was to calculate the Onco-MPI for patients in the study and correlate it with one-year mortality.

Results: A total of 576 patients aged ≥60 years were included in the study. The median age (range) of the population was 68 (60-90) years, and 429 (74.5%) were male. After a median follow-up of 19.2 months, 366 (63.7%) patients had died. The proportion of patients classified as low risk (0-0.46), moderate risk (0.47-0.63) and high risk (0.64-1.0) were 38% (219 patients), 37% (211 patients) and 25% (145 patients), respectively. There was a significant difference in one-year mortality rates between the low-risk patients compared to medium and high-risk patients (40.6% vs 53.1% vs 71.7%; p < 0.001).

Discussion: The current study validates the Onco-MPI as a predictive tool for estimating short-term mortality in older Indian patients with cancer. Further prospective studies need to build on this index to obtain a score with greater discrimination in the Indian population.

Keywords: Geriatric oncology; Older patients; Onco-MPI; Prognosis.