Prognosticators of survival in patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer and ascites

Abstract

Background: Identification of factors associated with survival after ascites diagnosis in metastatic pancreatic cancer (mPC) patients may guide treatment decisions and help to maintain quality of life in this highly symptomatic patient collective.

Patients and methods: All patients treated for mPC at the Medical University of Vienna between 2010 and 2019 developing ascites throughout their course of disease were identified by retrospective chart review. General risk factors, metastatic sites, systemic inflammation and liver function parameters, as well as type of treatment after ascites diagnosis were investigated for associations with survival.

Results: One hundred and seventeen mPC patients with ascites were included in this study. Median time from mPC to ascites diagnosis was 8.9 months (range 0-99 months) and median overall survival (OS) after ascites diagnosis was 27.4 days (range 21.3-42.6 days). Identified prognostic factors at ascites diagnosis independently associated with an impaired OS were presence of liver metastases [hazard ratio (HR): 2.07, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13-3.79, P = 0.018), peritoneal carcinomatosis (HR: 1.74, 95% CI 1.11-2.71, P = 0.015), and portal vein obstruction (HR: 2.52, 95% CI 1.29-4.90, P = 0.007). Compared with best supportive care, continuation of systemic therapy after ascites diagnosis was independently associated with survival (HR: 0.35, 95% CI 0.20-0.61, P < 0.001) with a median OS of 62 days (95% CI 51-129 days, P < 0.001) versus 16 days (95% CI 11-24 days), respectively.

Conclusions: Liver and peritoneal metastases as well as portal vein obstruction were found to be prognostic factors after ascites diagnosis in mPC patients. Continuation of systemic therapy after ascites diagnosis was associated with a longer OS, which needs to be evaluated in larger clinical trials including quality-of-life assessment.

Keywords: ascites; liver metastases; metastatic pancreatic cancer; peritoneal carcinomatosis; systemic inflammation.