Objective: To identify clinical and demographic characteristics associated with prolapse recurrence by 12 months after native tissue transvaginal repair.
Methods: This was a planned secondary analysis of a randomized trial including postmenopausal participants with stage 2 or greater apical or anterior vaginal prolapse scheduled for surgical repair at three U.S. sites. Participants underwent vaginal hysterectomy (if uterus was present) and standardized uterosacral or sacrospinous ligament suspension at the surgeon's discretion. The intervention was perioperative (5 weeks or more preoperatively and 12 months postoperatively) vaginal estrogen compared with placebo cream. The primary outcome was time to failure by 12 months after surgery, defined by objective prolapse of the anterior or posterior walls beyond the hymen or the apex descending more than one-third of the vaginal length, symptomatic vaginal bulge, or retreatment. For this analysis, participants were grouped according to failure compared with success, and multiple factors were compared, including age, time since menopause, race and ethnicity, parity, body mass index (BMI), baseline genital hiatus measurement, prolapse stage and point of maximal prolapse, surgery type (uterosacral or sacrospinous ligament suspension), and concomitant procedures. Factors were assessed for association with the hazard of surgical failure using Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for site and treatment group. Factors with P <.50 from this analysis were considered for inclusion in the final multivariable model; site and treatment group were kept in this model.
Results: One hundred eighty-six participants underwent surgery; 183 provided complete data. There were 30 failures (16.4%) and 153 successes (83.4%) at 12 months. On bivariate analysis, failure was associated with decreasing age, shorter duration since menopause, Latina ethnicity, and greater baseline genital hiatus. In the final multivariable model, which included age, BMI, and point of maximal prolapse, only age remained significantly associated with surgical failure (adjusted hazard ratio [per year] 0.92, 95% CI, 0.86-0.98, P =.016).
Conclusion: Among postmenopausal women, younger age was associated with increased frequency of prolapse recurrence by 12 months after native tissue repair.
Clinical trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov , NCT02431897.
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