Unbiased kidney-centric molecular categorization of chronic kidney disease as a step towards precision medicine

Abstract

Current classification of chronic kidney disease (CKD) into stages using indirect systemic measures (estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria) is agnostic to the heterogeneity of underlying molecular processes in the kidney thereby limiting precision medicine approaches. To generate a novel CKD categorization that directly reflects within kidney disease drivers we analyzed publicly available transcriptomic data from kidney biopsy tissue. A Self-Organizing Maps unsupervised artificial neural network machine-learning algorithm was used to stratify a total of 369 patients with CKD and 46 living kidney donors as healthy controls. Unbiased stratification of the discovery cohort resulted in identification of four novel molecular categories of disease termed CKD-Blue, CKD-Gold, CKD-Olive, CKD-Plum that were replicated in independent CKD and diabetic kidney disease datasets and can be further tested on any external data at kidneyclass.org. Each molecular category spanned across CKD stages and histopathological diagnoses and represented transcriptional activation of distinct biological pathways. Disease progression rates were highly significantly different between the molecular categories. CKD-Gold displayed rapid progression, with significant eGFR-adjusted Cox regression hazard ratio of 5.6 [1.01-31.3] for kidney failure and hazard ratio of 4.7 [1.3-16.5] for composite of kidney failure or a 40% or more eGFR decline. Urine proteomics revealed distinct patterns between the molecular categories, and a 25-protein signature was identified to distinguish CKD-Gold from other molecular categories. Thus, patient stratification based on kidney tissue omics offers a gateway to non-invasive biomarker-driven categorization and the potential for future clinical implementation, as a key step towards precision medicine in CKD.

Keywords: gene expression; kidney biopsy; machine learning; patient stratification; precision medicine; tissue transcriptomics.