Incidence and predictors of left atrial thrombus in patients with atrial fibrillation under anticoagulation therapy

Abstract

Background: Left atrial thrombus (LAT) formation is associated with thromboembolic events.

Objective: To investigate the incidence and associated factors of LAT in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who had been receiving anticoagulation therapy for more than 4 weeks, and to develop a prediction model using clinical and echocardiographic features.

Methods: Medical records of 1,122 patients with AF (mean age, 59.4 ± 11.0 years, 58.3% male) who were on anticoagulation more than 4 weeks and underwent transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) were evaluated. The main outcome was the presence of LAT on TEE.

Results: Warfarin and non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants were used in 74.4% and 25.6% of the patients at the time of examination, respectively. LAT was present in 60 patients (5.3%). Presence of LAT on TEE was associated with age ≥ 75 years (odds ratio [OR] 2.13 [95% confidence interval, 0.94-4.58]), persistent/permanent AF (OR 2.61 [1.42-4.93]), CHA₂DS₂-VASc score ≥ 3 points (OR 1.91 [1.05-3.48]), left ventricular ejection fraction < 40% (OR 2.35 [1.07-4.81]), and severe left atrial enlargement (OR 3.52 [1.89-6.79]). The presence of moderate-to-severe mitral regurgitation was associated with a lower risk of LAT (OR 0.13 [0.04-0.34]). A scoring system composed of the aforementioned predictors showed excellent discrimination performance (area under the curve 0.791 [95% CI, 0.727-0.854]).

Conclusions: LAT was present in a considerable number of patients who were already receiving anticoagulation therapy. A prediction model that combines clinical and echocardiographic predictors could be useful in distinguishing patients who require imaging evaluations before left atrial intervention.

Keywords: Atrial fibrillation; Echocardiography; Left atrial thrombus; Stroke; Thromboembolism.