Influence of incomplete death information on cumulative risk estimates in US claims data

Am J Epidemiol. 2024 Sep 3;193(9):1281-1290. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwae034.

Abstract

Administrative claims databases often do not capture date or fact of death, so studies using these data may inappropriately treat death as a censoring event-equivalent to other withdrawal reasons-rather than a competing event. We examined 1-, 3-, and 5-year inverse-probability-of-treatment weighted cumulative risks of a composite cardiovascular outcome among 34 527 initiators of telmisartan (exposure) and ramipril (referent), who were aged ≥55 years, in Optum (United States) claims data from 2003 to 2020. Differences in cumulative risks of the cardiovascular endpoint due to censoring of death (cause-specific), as compared with treating death as a competing event (subdistribution), increased with greater follow-up time and older age, where event and mortality risks were higher. Among ramipril users, 5-year cause-specific and subdistribution cumulative risk estimates per 100, respectively, were 16.4 (95% CI, 15.3-17.5) and 16.2 (95% CI, 15.1-17.3) among ages 55-64 (difference = 0.2) and were 43.2 (95% CI, 41.3-45.2) and 39.7 (95% CI, 37.9-41.4) among ages ≥75 (difference = 3.6). Plasmode simulation results demonstrated the differences in cause-specific versus subdistribution cumulative risks to increase with increasing mortality rate. We suggest researchers consider the cohort's baseline mortality risk when deciding whether real-world data with incomplete death information can be used without concern. This article is part of a Special Collection on Pharmacoepidemiology.

Keywords: administrative claims; competing events; epidemiologic methods; loss to follow-up; pharmacoepidemiology.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors / therapeutic use
  • Cardiovascular Diseases* / epidemiology
  • Cardiovascular Diseases* / mortality
  • Cause of Death
  • Databases, Factual
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Insurance Claim Review / statistics & numerical data
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Ramipril / therapeutic use
  • Risk Assessment
  • Telmisartan
  • United States / epidemiology

Substances

  • Telmisartan
  • Ramipril
  • Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors