The objective of this study is to derive mathematical equations that closely describe published data on world record running speed as a function of distance, age, and sex. Running speed declines with increasing distance and age. Over long distances, where aerobic metabolism is dominant, speed declines in proportion to the logarithm of distance. Over short distances, anaerobic metabolism contributes significantly to performance, and speed is increased relative to the trend of the long-distance data. Equations are derived that explicitly represent these effects. The decline in speed with age is represented by an age-dependent multiplicative factor, which exhibits increasing sensitivity to age as age increases. Using these equations, data are analyzed separately for males and females, and close fits to published data are demonstrated, particularly for younger age groups. These equations provide insight into the contributions of aerobic and anaerobic components of metabolism to athletic performance and a framework for comparisons of performance across wide ranges of distance and age.NEW & NOTEWORTHY World record speeds at different distances for men and women in different age categories are used to develop a model to predict running performance as a function of race distance, age, and sex. This empirical model quantifies the decline in running speed with distance and age in a way that provides insight into the aerobic and anaerobic contributions to running speed and may help with developing training strategies for different age groups at various distances.
Keywords: anaerobic boost; exercise; mathematical modeling; metabolism.