Participatory, Virologic, and Wastewater Surveillance Data to Assess Underestimation of COVID-19 Incidence, Germany, 2020-2024

Emerg Infect Dis. 2024 Sep;30(9):1939-1943. doi: 10.3201/eid3009.240640.

Abstract

Using participatory, virologic, and wastewater surveillance systems, we estimated when and to what extent reported data of adult COVID-19 cases underestimated COVID-19 incidence in Germany. We also examined how case underestimation evolved over time. Our findings highlight how community-based surveillance systems can complement official notification systems for respiratory disease dynamics.

Keywords: COVID-19; Germany; SARS; SARS-CoV-2; coronavirus; coronavirus disease; incidence of notified cases; pandemic public health and social measures; participatory surveillance; respiratory infections; severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; viruses; wastewater surveillance; zoonoses.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • Germany / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Population Surveillance
  • SARS-CoV-2* / genetics
  • Wastewater* / virology
  • Wastewater-Based Epidemiological Monitoring

Substances

  • Wastewater