The epidemiology and phylogenetic trends of Omicron subvariants from BA.5 to XBB.1 in Taiwan

J Infect Public Health. 2024 Nov;17(11):102556. doi: 10.1016/j.jiph.2024.102556. Epub 2024 Sep 29.

Abstract

Background: Omicron, a severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variant, entered Taiwan at the end of 2021. The Taiwanese government ended its "zero-COVID" policy in March 2022. Multiple coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreaks began in April 2022. We monitored the replacement of Omicron subvariants after BA.1/BA.2 and analyzed their correlation with COVID-19 outbreaks.

Methods: We collected SARS-CoV-2 real-time qRTPCR-positive nasopharyngeal swabs from Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital (KMUH), Kaohsiung City, Taiwan, and performed sequencing for specimens exhibiting a cytopathic effect in Vero E6 cells to determine their clades and lineages. We analyzed the medical records of COVID-19 patients and identified hospitalization risk factor(s). We retrieved SARS-CoV-2 sequences identified in Taiwan from GISAID and analyzed their correlation with COVID-19 data from the Taiwan Centers for Disease Control.

Results: We analyzed the phylogenesis of KMUH-47 to KMUH-104 (SARS-CoV-2 isolates identified herein) and all of the Omicron subvariants from BA.5 to XBB.1 (n = 1930). Age and comorbidities were hospitalization risk factors. Men generally exhibited a greater fatality rate than women. COVID-19-related deaths predominantly occurred in individuals over 70 years old. The COVID-19-related case fatality rate increased as nucleotide (NT) and amino acid (AA) substitutions increased. The number of COVID-19-related cases and deaths progressively decreased with each outbreak between August 2022 and October 2023.

Conclusion: Hospitalization was associated with age and the presence of comorbidities. COVID-19-related fatality was linked to sex, age, and the accumulation of NT and AA substitutions in emerging Omicron subvariants.

Keywords: Age; COVID-19; Fatality; Omicron subvariant; Sex; Vaccination.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Animals
  • Betacoronavirus / classification
  • Betacoronavirus / genetics
  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • COVID-19* / virology
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Chlorocebus aethiops
  • Coronavirus Infections / epidemiology
  • Coronavirus Infections / virology
  • Female
  • Hospitalization / statistics & numerical data
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Pandemics
  • Phylogeny*
  • Pneumonia, Viral / epidemiology
  • Pneumonia, Viral / virology
  • Risk Factors
  • SARS-CoV-2* / genetics
  • Taiwan / epidemiology
  • Vero Cells
  • Young Adult

Supplementary concepts

  • SARS-CoV-2 variants