Background and aim: We examined whether a plasma ceramide-based risk score (CERT1 score), a newly proposed tool for cardiovascular risk prediction, is associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality and nonfatal myocardial infarction in patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease (CAD).
Methods and results: We studied 167 ambulatory patients who consecutively underwent stress myocardial perfusion scintigraphy (MPS) for clinical reasons in 2017 (at baseline) and then followed for a median of 6 years (inter-quartile range: 4.7-6.6 years). For the calculation of the CERT1 score, both before and after stress MPS, we measured three specific plasma ceramide concentrations [Cer(d18:1/16:0), Cer(d18:1/18:0) and Cer(d18:1/24:1)] and their ratio to Cer(d18:1/24:0) using a targeted liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry assay. The primary outcome of the study was a composite of all-cause mortality or nonfatal myocardial infarction. During a median of 6 years, a total of 50 events occurred (26 all-cause deaths and 24 nonfatal myocardial infarctions). There was a significant association between pre-stress CERT1 risk categories (high vs. low risk) at baseline and the risk of developing the primary composite outcome (unadjusted HR 1.78, 95% CI 1.02-3.14). This risk remained significant after adjustment for age, sex, smoking, diabetes, pre-existing CAD, left ventricular ejection fraction, and stress-induced inducible myocardial ischemia on MPS (adjusted HR 2.28, 95% CI 1.17-4.41, p = 0.015). Almost identical results were observed for post-stress CERT1 risk categories.
Conclusions: Pre-stress and post-stress CERT1 high-risk categories at baseline were strongly associated with an increased long-term risk of all-cause mortality or nonfatal myocardial infarction in patients with suspected or established CAD.
Keywords: CERT1 score; CVD; Cardiovascular morbidity; Mortality; Plasma ceramides.
Copyright © 2024 The Italian Diabetes Society, the Italian Society for the Study of Atherosclerosis, the Italian Society of Human Nutrition and the Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, Federico II University. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.