Purpose: Delayed chest closure (DCC) during lung transplantation (LTx) is a controversial surgical approach that lacks research in systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients. We investigated outcomes, clinical risk factors, and CT-based lung size-matching parameters associated with DCC in SSc recipients.
Methods: This retrospective study included 92 SSc recipients (age 51 years ± 10, 56/92 (61.0%) females) who underwent bilateral LTx between 2007 and 2020. Of the recipients, 34.8% (32/92) underwent DCC. Recipient lung and chest cavity volumes were automatically computed from CT imaging using deep learning algorithms. Survival between groups was compared using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify risk factors and predict DCC occurrence using preoperative variables.
Results: Recipients who underwent DCC had longer total vent duration (p = 0.001), more use of postoperative mechanical support (p = 0.001), longer ICU length of stay (p = 0.008), and lower incidence of pneumonia post-operation (p = 0.031). No significant difference in survival was observed between DCC and PCC recipients at 30 days (p = 0.713), 90 days (p = 0.267), 1 year (p = 0.941), and 5 years (p = 0.651). Clinical risk factors for DCC included BMI > 30 kg/m2 (p = 0.009), tracheostomy (p = 0.002), atrial fibrillation (p = 0.012), decreased preoperative FEV1/FVC (p = 0.013), and previous chest operation (p = 0.020). Two CT-based measurements of lung matching were significantly associated with DCC occurrence (p = 0.021 and 0.050). The regression model achieved a mean AUC of 0.82 (0.70, 0.94) in retrospectively predicting DCC occurrence.
Conclusion: SSc recipients undergoing DCC have similar survival rates but experience more complications than PCC recipients. Clinical risk factors and CT-based size matching can be leveraged to predict DCC pre-transplant.
Keywords: delayed chest closure; lung transplant; scleroderma; systemic sclerosis.
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