Attributable risks for breast cancer in Italy: education, family history and reproductive and hormonal factors

Int J Cancer. 1997 Jan 17;70(2):159-63. doi: 10.1002/(sici)1097-0215(19970117)70:2<159::aid-ijc4>3.0.co;2-w.

Abstract

The percent population attributable risk (AR) for breast cancer was estimated in relation to education, family history of the disease and some reproductive and hormonal factors, using data from a case-control study conducted between June 1991 and February 1994 in 6 Italian centres on 2,569 histologically confirmed incident breast cancer cases and 2,588 controls, admitted to hospital for a wide range of acute, non-neoplastic, non-hormone-related diseases. On the basis of multivariate odds ratios, a high level of education accounted for 20% of cases, elevated age at first birth and nulliparity for 38% and a family history of breast cancer in first-degree relatives for 7%. Education and nulliparity and age at first birth together explained 47% of all breast cancer cases, and the combination of these 2 factors plus a family history of the disease explained 50% of cases. In pre-menopausal women a high level of education accounted for 31% of all breast cancer cases, older age at first birth for 44% and the combination of the 2 factors for 49%. In post-menopausal women the corresponding values were 13%, 31% and 42%; further addition of risk associated with family history of the disease explained 52% of pre-menopausal cases. In post-menopausal women older age at menopause and the use of hormone replacement therapy accounted for 15% and 2% of breast cancer cases, respectively. The combination of risks associated with a high level of education, old age at first birth and nulliparity and older age at menopause accounted for 51% of cases; further inclusion of risk associated with use of hormone replacement therapy explained 52%, and the AR resulting from these 4 risk factors combined plus a family history of breast cancer was 56%. Thus, a few selected and well-identified risk factors explain about one-half the breast cancer cases in this Italian population.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Age Factors
  • Breast Neoplasms / epidemiology*
  • Breast Neoplasms / genetics
  • Case-Control Studies
  • Educational Status
  • Estrogen Replacement Therapy / adverse effects
  • Female
  • Gonadal Steroid Hormones
  • Humans
  • Italy / epidemiology
  • Menopause
  • Odds Ratio
  • Reproductive History
  • Risk

Substances

  • Gonadal Steroid Hormones