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Prospective forecasts of annual dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence in Thailand, 2010-2014.
Lauer SA, Sakrejda K, Ray EL, Keegan LT, Bi Q, Suangtho P, Hinjoy S, Iamsirithaworn S, Suthachana S, Laosiritaworn Y, Cummings DAT, Lessler J, Reich NG. Lauer SA, et al. Among authors: ray el. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2018 Mar 6;115(10):E2175-E2182. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1714457115. Epub 2018 Feb 20. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2018. PMID: 29463757 Free PMC article.
A collaborative multiyear, multimodel assessment of seasonal influenza forecasting in the United States.
Reich NG, Brooks LC, Fox SJ, Kandula S, McGowan CJ, Moore E, Osthus D, Ray EL, Tushar A, Yamana TK, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J. Reich NG, et al. Among authors: ray el. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Feb 19;116(8):3146-3154. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1812594116. Epub 2019 Jan 15. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019. PMID: 30647115 Free PMC article.
Collaborative efforts to forecast seasonal influenza in the United States, 2015-2016.
McGowan CJ, Biggerstaff M, Johansson M, Apfeldorf KM, Ben-Nun M, Brooks L, Convertino M, Erraguntla M, Farrow DC, Freeze J, Ghosh S, Hyun S, Kandula S, Lega J, Liu Y, Michaud N, Morita H, Niemi J, Ramakrishnan N, Ray EL, Reich NG, Riley P, Shaman J, Tibshirani R, Vespignani A, Zhang Q, Reed C; Influenza Forecasting Working Group. McGowan CJ, et al. Among authors: ray el. Sci Rep. 2019 Jan 24;9(1):683. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-36361-9. Sci Rep. 2019. PMID: 30679458 Free PMC article.
An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics.
Johansson MA, Apfeldorf KM, Dobson S, Devita J, Buczak AL, Baugher B, Moniz LJ, Bagley T, Babin SM, Guven E, Yamana TK, Shaman J, Moschou T, Lothian N, Lane A, Osborne G, Jiang G, Brooks LC, Farrow DC, Hyun S, Tibshirani RJ, Rosenfeld R, Lessler J, Reich NG, Cummings DAT, Lauer SA, Moore SM, Clapham HE, Lowe R, Bailey TC, García-Díez M, Carvalho MS, Rodó X, Sardar T, Paul R, Ray EL, Sakrejda K, Brown AC, Meng X, Osoba O, Vardavas R, Manheim D, Moore M, Rao DM, Porco TC, Ackley S, Liu F, Worden L, Convertino M, Liu Y, Reddy A, Ortiz E, Rivero J, Brito H, Juarrero A, Johnson LR, Gramacy RB, Cohen JM, Mordecai EA, Murdock CC, Rohr JR, Ryan SJ, Stewart-Ibarra AM, Weikel DP, Jutla A, Khan R, Poultney M, Colwell RR, Rivera-García B, Barker CM, Bell JE, Biggerstaff M, Swerdlow D, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Forshey BM, Trtanj J, Asher J, Clay M, Margolis HS, Hebbeler AM, George D, Chretien JP. Johansson MA, et al. Among authors: ray el. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Nov 26;116(48):24268-24274. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1909865116. Epub 2019 Nov 11. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019. PMID: 31712420 Free PMC article.
Accuracy of real-time multi-model ensemble forecasts for seasonal influenza in the U.S.
Reich NG, McGowan CJ, Yamana TK, Tushar A, Ray EL, Osthus D, Kandula S, Brooks LC, Crawford-Crudell W, Gibson GC, Moore E, Silva R, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J. Reich NG, et al. Among authors: ray el. PLoS Comput Biol. 2019 Nov 22;15(11):e1007486. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007486. eCollection 2019 Nov. PLoS Comput Biol. 2019. PMID: 31756193 Free PMC article.
Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format.
Bracher J, Ray EL, Gneiting T, Reich NG. Bracher J, et al. Among authors: ray el. PLoS Comput Biol. 2021 Feb 12;17(2):e1008618. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008618. eCollection 2021 Feb. PLoS Comput Biol. 2021. PMID: 33577550 Free PMC article.
34 results