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Scoring epidemiological forecasts on transformed scales.
Bosse NI, Abbott S, Cori A, van Leeuwen E, Bracher J, Funk S. Bosse NI, et al. PLoS Comput Biol. 2023 Aug 29;19(8):e1011393. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011393. eCollection 2023 Aug. PLoS Comput Biol. 2023. PMID: 37643178 Free PMC article.
Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States.
Cramer EY, Ray EL, Lopez VK, Bracher J, Brennen A, Castro Rivadeneira AJ, Gerding A, Gneiting T, House KH, Huang Y, Jayawardena D, Kanji AH, Khandelwal A, Le K, Mühlemann A, Niemi J, Shah A, Stark A, Wang Y, Wattanachit N, Zorn MW, Gu Y, Jain S, Bannur N, Deva A, Kulkarni M, Merugu S, Raval A, Shingi S, Tiwari A, White J, Abernethy NF, Woody S, Dahan M, Fox S, Gaither K, Lachmann M, Meyers LA, Scott JG, Tec M, Srivastava A, George GE, Cegan JC, Dettwiller ID, England WP, Farthing MW, Hunter RH, Lafferty B, Linkov I, Mayo ML, Parno MD, Rowland MA, Trump BD, Zhang-James Y, Chen S, Faraone SV, Hess J, Morley CP, Salekin A, Wang D, Corsetti SM, Baer TM, Eisenberg MC, Falb K, Huang Y, Martin ET, McCauley E, Myers RL, Schwarz T, Sheldon D, Gibson GC, Yu R, Gao L, Ma Y, Wu D, Yan X, Jin X, Wang YX, Chen Y, Guo L, Zhao Y, Gu Q, Chen J, Wang L, Xu P, Zhang W, Zou D, Biegel H, Lega J, McConnell S, Nagraj VP, Guertin SL, Hulme-Lowe C, Turner SD, Shi Y, Ban X, Walraven R, Hong QJ, Kong S, van de Walle A, Turtle JA, Ben-Nun M, Riley S, Riley P, Koyluoglu U, DesRoches D, Forli P, Hamory B, Kyriakides C, Leis H, Milliken J, Moloney M, Morgan J, Nirgudkar N, Ozcan G, Piwonka N, Ravi M, Schrader C… See abstract for full author list ➔ Cramer EY, et al. Among authors: bosse ni. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 Apr 12;119(15):e2113561119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2113561119. Epub 2022 Apr 8. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022. PMID: 35394862 Free PMC article.
Early human judgment forecasts of human monkeypox, May 2022.
McAndrew T, Majumder MS, Lover AA, Venkatramanan S, Bocchini P, Besiroglu T, Codi A, Braun D, Dempsey G, Abbott S, Chevalier S, Bosse NI, Cambeiro J. McAndrew T, et al. Among authors: bosse ni. Lancet Digit Health. 2022 Aug;4(8):e569-e571. doi: 10.1016/S2589-7500(22)00127-3. Epub 2022 Jul 7. Lancet Digit Health. 2022. PMID: 35811294 Free PMC article. No abstract available.
Comparing human and model-based forecasts of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland.
Bosse NI, Abbott S, Bracher J, Hain H, Quilty BJ, Jit M; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-19 Working Group; van Leeuwen E, Cori A, Funk S. Bosse NI, et al. PLoS Comput Biol. 2022 Sep 19;18(9):e1010405. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010405. eCollection 2022 Sep. PLoS Comput Biol. 2022. PMID: 36121848 Free PMC article.
Correction: Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, Rt.
Gostic KM, McGough L, Baskerville EB, Abbott S, Joshi K, Tedijanto C, Kahn R, Niehus R, Hay JA, De Salazar PM, Hellewell J, Meakin S, Munday JD, Bosse NI, Sherrat K, Thompson RN, White LF, Huisman JS, Scire J, Bonhoeffer S, Stadler T, Wallinga J, Funk S, Lipsitch M, Cobey S. Gostic KM, et al. Among authors: bosse ni. PLoS Comput Biol. 2021 Dec 8;17(12):e1009679. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009679. eCollection 2021 Dec. PLoS Comput Biol. 2021. PMID: 34879070 Free PMC article.
The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset.
Cramer EY, Huang Y, Wang Y, Ray EL, Cornell M, Bracher J, Brennen A, Rivadeneira AJC, Gerding A, House K, Jayawardena D, Kanji AH, Khandelwal A, Le K, Mody V, Mody V, Niemi J, Stark A, Shah A, Wattanchit N, Zorn MW, Reich NG; US COVID-19 Forecast Hub Consortium. Cramer EY, et al. Sci Data. 2022 Aug 1;9(1):462. doi: 10.1038/s41597-022-01517-w. Sci Data. 2022. PMID: 35915104 Free PMC article.
Implications of the school-household network structure on SARS-CoV-2 transmission under school reopening strategies in England.
Munday JD, Sherratt K, Meakin S, Endo A, Pearson CAB, Hellewell J, Abbott S, Bosse NI; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Atkins KE, Wallinga J, Edmunds WJ, van Hoek AJ, Funk S. Munday JD, et al. Among authors: bosse ni. Nat Commun. 2021 Mar 29;12(1):1942. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-22213-0. Nat Commun. 2021. PMID: 33782396 Free PMC article.
Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, Rt.
Gostic KM, McGough L, Baskerville EB, Abbott S, Joshi K, Tedijanto C, Kahn R, Niehus R, Hay JA, De Salazar PM, Hellewell J, Meakin S, Munday JD, Bosse NI, Sherrat K, Thompson RN, White LF, Huisman JS, Scire J, Bonhoeffer S, Stadler T, Wallinga J, Funk S, Lipsitch M, Cobey S. Gostic KM, et al. Among authors: bosse ni. PLoS Comput Biol. 2020 Dec 10;16(12):e1008409. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008409. eCollection 2020 Dec. PLoS Comput Biol. 2020. PMID: 33301457 Free PMC article.
A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave.
Bracher J, Wolffram D, Deuschel J, Görgen K, Ketterer JL, Ullrich A, Abbott S, Barbarossa MV, Bertsimas D, Bhatia S, Bodych M, Bosse NI, Burgard JP, Castro L, Fairchild G, Fuhrmann J, Funk S, Gogolewski K, Gu Q, Heyder S, Hotz T, Kheifetz Y, Kirsten H, Krueger T, Krymova E, Li ML, Meinke JH, Michaud IJ, Niedzielewski K, Ożański T, Rakowski F, Scholz M, Soni S, Srivastava A, Zieliński J, Zou D, Gneiting T, Schienle M; List of Contributors by Team. Bracher J, et al. Among authors: bosse ni. Nat Commun. 2021 Aug 27;12(1):5173. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-25207-0. Nat Commun. 2021. PMID: 34453047 Free PMC article.
Human judgement forecasting of COVID-19 in the UK.
Bosse NI, Abbott S, Bracher J, van Leeuwen E, Cori A, Funk S. Bosse NI, et al. Wellcome Open Res. 2024 Mar 21;8:416. doi: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.19380.2. eCollection 2023. Wellcome Open Res. 2024. PMID: 38618198 Free PMC article.
58 results